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ChatGPT takes on Wall Street: Researchers discover AI's ability to predict stock market returns
1 May, 2023 / 04:10 am / Chat GPT

Source: http://www.mashable.com

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Mashable: An AI language model is superior to human analysts at anticipating stock prices.

In groundbreaking news that will shock no one, artificial intelligence has once again proven to be a game-changer. Using sentiment analysis of news headlines, ChatGPT, the large language model, can accurately predict stock market returns, according to a study by the University of Florida researchers. Wow, who would have thought that analyzing news headlines could help predict stock prices? It's not like investors have been doing that for years.

But wait, there's more! According to the study, ChatGPT outperformed traditional sentiment analysis techniques offered by industry leaders. Yes, you heard that right, folks. An AI language model is superior to human analysts at anticipating stock prices. We're sure those analysts are thrilled to hear that their jobs can now be replaced by a machine that can analyze news headlines.

As per a report by Business Today, the researchers primarily used daily stock returns and news headlines for their study. They compiled a list of all firms trading on the NYSE, NASDAQ, and AMEX for which the data vendor has reported news. Only comprehensive articles and press releases with a relevance score of 100 were included. In addition, they excluded headlines categorized as stock gains and stock loss and removed duplicate and extremely similar headlines for the same company on the same day. Essentially, they cherry-picked the data to achieve the desired results.

However, what does this imply for the financial sector? According to the paper, this discovery has the potential to alter market forecasting and investment decision-making methodologies. We can already hear financial analysts scrambling to learn ChatGPT in order to retain their employment.

The study's implications extend beyond the financial industry, as it could help regulators and policymakers comprehend the potential benefits and risks associated with the increasing adoption of AI in financial markets. The paper asserts that as the prevalence of these language models increases, their impact on market behavior, information dissemination, and price formulation will become crucial areas of concern. But who needs human supervision and regulation if a machine can do everything?

Because it provides empirical evidence on the effectiveness of LLMs in predicting stock market returns, the study is also useful for asset managers and institutional investors. This knowledge can assist these professionals in making more informed decisions regarding the incorporation of LLMs into their investment strategies, potentially resulting in enhanced performance and reduced reliance on traditional, more labor-intensive analysis techniques.